La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04bd17c41cab939318dda7d5fd8135dafc9014b16572610daf31899531bc5e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 0c | 18,134$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 10c | 8,946$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.7 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 7,084$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 3,984$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 29c | 2,031$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 13c | 1,429$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,373$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 7c | 1,067$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 21c | 1,044$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,006$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 29c | 1,006$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 995.27$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.9 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 878.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc02…2238backed Yes | 10c | 863$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 29c | 523.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 397.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 5c | 301.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 280$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 76c | 263.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 76c | 199.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 23c | 178$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…f285backed Yes | 21c | 172.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e01…271fbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 15c | 160.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 74c | 154.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 26c | 131.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 28c | 109.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…6578backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf103…c4d6backed Yes | 18c | 84.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 73.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 24c | 54.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 27c | 49.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 27c | 49.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 72c | 41.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 72c | 40.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539a…e49abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…0801backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 29c | 37.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 80c | 31.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 73c | 25.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 79c | 23.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c830backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked No | 72c | 19.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 72c | 15.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-02?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.