NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc760b587b10082772417adcd8f84825a51313530be55c1b2d41185ae6dc6f5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 47c | 3,693$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.59 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 53c | 3,483$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.01 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Over | 30c | 1,715$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…c595backed Under | 57c | 1,210$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.55 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 70c | 749.51$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 660.64$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed Over | 25c | 602.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 292$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 76c | 284$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 51c | 262.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 233.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 45c | 233$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 180.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 165.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 75c | 159.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 80c | 151.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Under | 54c | 149.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 50c | 128.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 49c | 97.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 73c | 93.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 90.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 86.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 46c | 85.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 65.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 50c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 46.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 52c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 32.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…2b59backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 50c | 28.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 72c | 24.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bb…ae27backed Under | 78c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Flames won
- Utah vs. FlamesFlames won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.