NHL · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8bfbb66be27fdbd4270db5887973523670f7762d407d9b06c2c8ee1e9680f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Utah, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Flames | 63c | 6,159$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.67 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Utah | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 62c | 2,865$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.04 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Utah | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Utah | 38c | 1,547$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Utah | 39c | 965.75$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah | 38c | 945.42$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.06 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Flames | 63c | 931.24$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Utah | 37c | 505.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Utah | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 77c | 355.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flames | 53c | 259.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Flames | 63c | 195.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flames | 63c | 186.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Flames | 53c | 153.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 63c | 150.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Utah | 39c | 147.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Utah | 38c | 129.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Utah | 38c | 125.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…2c71backed Utah | 38c | 102.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flames | 65c | 99.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flames | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Flames | 61c | 76.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Flames | 62c | 74.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Utah | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Utah | 39c | 71.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Flames | 63c | 68.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Flames | 63c | 63.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Flames | 63c | 58.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Flames | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Utah | 39c | 51.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Flames | 62c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Flames | 61c | 49.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Flames | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flames | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Flames | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Flames | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Utah | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Flames | 63c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Flames | 63c | 24.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…b852backed Flames | 53c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flames | 63c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb330…c587backed Flames | 62c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Flames | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)this page
- Utah vs. FlamesFlames won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Utah vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.