Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands vs. Norway end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5f46c3bf70a0446ad3364315b56f25d5636b3827f34252f56f20e70359937a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 7,984$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 18c | 5,262$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.51 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 1,936$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.52 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,779$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.06 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 1,158$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 11c | 882.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 19c | 611.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 19c | 585.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 19c | 585.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 77c | 579.86$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 17c | 572.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 405$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.15 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 10c | 393.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 30c | 327$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 276.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 261.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…ad50backed Yes | 24c | 251.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…cbe3backed No | 70c | 250.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 77c | 249.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 15c | 230.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 19c | 219.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b029backed Yes | 30c | 213.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 185.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…b25fbacked Yes | 26c | 172.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…551dbacked Yes | 23c | 166$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 162.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 154.89$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 132.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 30c | 121.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…9e57backed Yes | 24c | 111.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 80c | 105$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 104.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 19c | 102.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 72c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 72.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Yes | 21c | 63.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e64…673bbacked Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 21c | 50.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed No | 79c | 29.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…961abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands vs. Norway end in a draw?this page
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?Yes won
- Will Norway win on 2026-03-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.