TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,963 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c72,010$36,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,195.921,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c43,950$21,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,534.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c39,926$20,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,164.5860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over49c28,424$13,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,927.7529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over48c22,913$10,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,977.0411443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c20,238$9,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,668.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6b…d96dbacked Under51c17,206$8,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4311346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c9,794$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.111,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c9,084$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,451.161,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c7,497$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6703,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under54c6,388$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.6122648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c4,196$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.944,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c4,158$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…8ca2backed Over48c4,121$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c3,909$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.654,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over47c3,861$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,83217349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c2,696$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c2,560$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.819445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,551$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under53c2,342$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over48c2,328$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,310$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.7880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over33c2,144$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over47c2,114$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.9438750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ac…346fbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-61%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96035749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under52c1,960$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.814245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c1,880$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.684,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over48c1,854$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8908647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c05…a21fbacked Over50c1,849$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,734$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over61c1,649$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf59…5342backed Over50c1,571$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c1,502$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d91…2cb3backed Under50c1,452$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,431$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8fd…2dbabacked Under50c1,406$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1b…9690backed Under52c1,388$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ade…4ff5backed Under52c1,387$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdeb…29fdbacked Under52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Over48c1,344$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Under75c1,341$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.964573.3%33 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09c5…9be9backed Over50c1,340$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c1,258$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.8431643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf0d…7f9bbacked Under50c1,251$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over48c1,247$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c1,238$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59418749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under53c1,153$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.9134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under73c1,142$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.974438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,088$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53321247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x138c…b8a0backed Under50c1,018$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under51c1,010$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.927455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c977.18$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.042,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over45c899.97$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.699842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee82…8237backed Under50c871$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under53c822.64$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.646241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over50c800$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4150239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under53c797.37$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over37c767.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…16f4backed Over50c752$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under52c749.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9910348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f61…a6dabacked Over5c743.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under53c725.91$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.1948751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c655.68$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.763,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.242568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc077…fa2abacked Over50c540$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fd…fb33backed Under50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.722447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over4c440.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6484…bf40backed Over50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over30c419.63$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c408.74$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under52c408$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.841,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20213954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c396$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.041,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under53c382.01$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.5430453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Over49c346.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.888143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…0ddbbacked Over48c318.75$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Under51c314$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.869150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c290.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under53c286.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c252.38$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over49c244.81$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.981,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Under53c239$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3323655.5%131 W · 105 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over30c235$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.782,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over11c231.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3911826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Over23c219.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.81,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c205.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.571,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Over50c201.46$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7328536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under58c200.64$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.