TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Trail Blazers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$604,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,218 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers51c130,662$66,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,524.243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers51c98,039$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,039.2236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers49c69,666$34,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,134.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers49c64,868$31,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,878.791,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers49c34,873$17,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,087.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers50c29,223$14,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,543.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers50c19,571$9,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,785.421,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Trail Blazers50c17,120$8,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,56031643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked 76ers51c13,938$7,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,829.5611452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed 76ers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers50c9,357$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,678.7539842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Trail Blazers40c8,615$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,446.117249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers50c8,598$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,299.0359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Trail Blazers50c8,400$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccf…6ed9backed Trail Blazers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers50c7,500$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers49c6,880$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.7857950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers60c6,530$3,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,617.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Trail Blazers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Trail Blazers50c5,706$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8533943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers50c5,100$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Trail Blazers51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5506147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Trail Blazers50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed 76ers50c4,573$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.6114052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers49c3,510$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.22,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed 76ers50c3,260$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed 76ers51c3,022$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.97447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Trail Blazers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers49c2,766$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.451,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers48c2,593$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.92,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed 76ers60c2,513$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.891,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc810…cb45backed 76ers51c2,258$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c2,088$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Trail Blazers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed 76ers51c1,973$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.5523553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers50c1,869$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.133,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389c…e128backed Trail Blazers49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Trail Blazers50c1,536$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.18148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Trail Blazers51c1,531$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers47c1,487$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Trail Blazers54c1,482$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74027455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a4b…cb7bbacked Trail Blazers49c1,387$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers32c1,003$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4628842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Trail Blazers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers50c876$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers51c769.37$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9967252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed 76ers61c744.73$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0516162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cc…2ebfbacked 76ers51c729$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers50c656.66$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3331551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers50c589.91$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Trail Blazers51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers51c545.45$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers53c503.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Trail Blazers51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Trail Blazers50c490.18$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked 76ers51c479.04$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7310953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed 76ers50c467.87$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9418043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Trail Blazers41c445.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Trail Blazers50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22226745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c43…764fbacked 76ers50c436$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Trail Blazers49c404.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers48c383$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers39c361.53$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.211,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed 76ers50c359$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.511451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed 76ers69c348.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4411471.9%82 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed9…8bdcbacked 76ers60c335$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1341070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Trail Blazers50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15338242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Trail Blazers49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92de…87eebacked Trail Blazers50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a6f…d5ccbacked Trail Blazers51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers50c294$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed 76ers53c284.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5340041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked 76ers49c265.38$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1448739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf288…3c08backed Trail Blazers50c264.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Trail Blazers40c264.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8942153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Trail Blazers48c245.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0324247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked 76ers62c240.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8827846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed 76ers51c240.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0476250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Trail Blazers50c220.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2512650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed 76ers51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6912657.9%73 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Trail Blazers49c203.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Trail Blazers40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Trail Blazers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.