TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Trail Blazers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,576 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c43…31c1backed Trail Blazers0c252,400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5312044.2%53 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers46c87,778$40,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,399.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers54c75,441$40,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,738.2411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Trail Blazers54c60,279$32,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,547.6548343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed 76ers46c51,113$23,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,600.861,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers54c38,000$20,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,519.9840446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed 76ers46c9,339$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.61,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers46c8,970$4,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,834.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Trail Blazers45c8,350$3,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.4917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers47c7,623$3,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,061.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers56c6,689$3,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked 76ers47c5,685$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.1134854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers56c5,093$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers46c4,944$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.784,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked 76ers46c4,864$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.5424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers54c4,856$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.061,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers52c4,834$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.9131551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers46c4,712$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.8457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8356453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers44c3,239$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.344,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Trail Blazers54c3,102$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.335048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3844…6221backed Trail Blazers54c2,820$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed Trail Blazers53c1,925$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.879853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked 76ers48c1,471$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.6917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Trail Blazers54c1,305$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.1145151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed 76ers46c1,242$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.798143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Trail Blazers52c1,035$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.2228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked 76ers48c929.17$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.1721355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked 76ers58c919.15$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.349842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers46c900.13$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.313,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Trail Blazers42c734.08$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.652,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Trail Blazers55c655.06$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7243544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9021…0c62backed Trail Blazers55c602.07$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8812546.4%58 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers46c597.04$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Trail Blazers53c566.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9916745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers46c532.09$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked 76ers46c520.23$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.231,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers54c477.46$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Trail Blazers55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers47c449.02$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed 76ers47c426$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers47c419.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.42,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Trail Blazers54c416.67$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510835.2%38 W · 70 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed 76ers48c351.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.991,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers46c344.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed 76ers46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.093847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers58c307$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.942,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Trail Blazers50c300.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.089524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Trail Blazers54c299.63$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9976250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Trail Blazers55c276.53$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.095352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed 76ers47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3223446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers46c252.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked 76ers46c243.48$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4829345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers46c228.26$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.262,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed 76ers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked 76ers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked 76ers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7713750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers54c212$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.481,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Trail Blazers58c189.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.111447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers46c187.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968c…eb42backed 76ers48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick37cpaid+204.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Trail Blazers54c185.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011736.8%43 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Trail Blazers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Trail Blazers55c183.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa2…b175backed 76ers49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked 76ers58c175.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.827846.8%130 W · 148 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f1…67f2backed 76ers47c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+53.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed 76ers70c174.27$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.283669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers46c152.5$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Trail Blazers52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked 76ers54c146.3$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.38851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed 76ers48c141.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6936045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked 76ers47c138.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.35250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed 76ers48c136.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers55c136.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.933,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Trail Blazers55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed 76ers48c135.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6840546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Trail Blazers55c129.09$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7145651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed 76ers47c128.83$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2838453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Trail Blazers54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8853945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed 76ers46c119.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed 76ers76c119.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1511471.9%82 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked 76ers53c117.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7748739.8%194 W · 293 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed 76ers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.74957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed 76ers53c106.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.699458.5%55 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Trail Blazers55c106.49$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.579451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed 76ers47c106.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3720847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Trail Blazers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Trail Blazers55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559545.3%43 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed 76ers46c96.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8529344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Trail Blazers55c93.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0511642.2%49 W · 67 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Trail Blazers55c92.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.559841.8%41 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Trail Blazers55c90.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.929441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Trail Blazers54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.68251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked 76ers47c89.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.867960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers46c89.66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0749…a019backed Trail Blazers53c86$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed 76ers48c85.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6714047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.