TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,751 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No70c1,700$1,185 inWon+$51565762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d75…ab74backed Yes29c1,125$325 inLost-$325966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49fb…9a62backed Yes34c905.6$309 inLost-$308.511625%4 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d5…8508backed Yes34c588$200 inLost-$199.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc984…195ebacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost-$1004850%24 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Yes53c228.3$120 inLost-$1208342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No64c227$145 inWon+$81.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No48c210$101 inWon+$109.21,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No54c189.39$102 inWon+$87.1228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd1…6a87backed No77c187.5$145 inWon+$42.7111565.2%75 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No47c166.6$78 inWon+$88.390863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75d2…60ddbacked Yes34c138.65$47 inLost-$4760%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost-$509558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e3…2e82backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No65c101.99$66 inWon+$35.681,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$207640.8%31 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Yes52c57.85$30 inLost-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No48c50.94$24 inWon+$26.4995260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8087…6d7abacked Yes36c42.3$15 inLost-$15.214337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes33c40$13 inLost-$13.24434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Yes35c34.78$12 inLost-$12.327074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Yes47c34.04$16 inLost-$1618054.4%98 W · 82 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x788c…4a44backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost-$157546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Yes53c28.3$15 inLost-$159031.1%28 W · 62 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Yes50c26.2$13 inLost-$13.12030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x376d…bc1bbacked No67c22.38$15 inWon+$7.399869.4%68 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.