TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,760 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers60c1,472$881 inWon+$591.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed 76ers41c1,307$539 inLost-$538.929547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed 76ers53c558.04$296 inLost-$295.766355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Trail Blazers55c545.45$300 inWon+$245.4516147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed 76ers34c527.45$177 inLost-$17729040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers67c342.16$228 inWon+$1142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trail Blazers55c256.33$141 inWon+$115.7726353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked 76ers34c231.06$79 inLost-$78.564431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed 76ers41c214.94$88 inLost-$88.4817436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e9…d331backed 76ers34c105.88$36 inLost-$362147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Trail Blazers47c100$47 inWon+$531346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed 76ers45c79.13$36 inLost-$3613644.1%60 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2270…ca8cbacked Trail Blazers63c77.12$49 inWon+$28.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa689…09b3backed Trail Blazers73c60.27$44 inWon+$16.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Trail Blazers58c53.22$31 inWon+$22.2213153.4%70 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Trail Blazers69c45.84$32 inWon+$14.2114745.6%67 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Trail Blazers61c39.04$24 inWon+$15.0537845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked 76ers51c38.24$19 inLost-$19.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f5e…da72backed Trail Blazers61c32.69$20 inWon+$12.691560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Trail Blazers60c31.01$19 inWon+$12.331,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked 76ers40c25$10 inLost-$105139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1be6…a7c1backed Trail Blazers68c17.35$12 inWon+$5.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.