TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,183 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,299.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c24,000$11,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf52…fd85backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…a84bbacked Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over51c18,839$9,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6083240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa669…a7c2backed Over50c17,000$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under47c16,706$7,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,779.91,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c14,327$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.055750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over50c9,224$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.1538750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c8,921$4,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.7260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c8,460$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ccf…6ed9backed Over51c7,050$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6caf…7ef6backed Over51c5,531$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ec0…7221backed Over51c4,264$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00026637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c3,462$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x138c…b8a0backed Under48c2,997$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9136…8e9dbacked Over50c2,978$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4891050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d91…2cb3backed Under48c2,935$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36fd…fb33backed Over52c2,915$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0d…7f9bbacked Over52c2,876$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over51c2,841$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.99952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c2,806$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf59…5342backed Over52c2,783$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c5…9be9backed Under48c2,762$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under50c2,720$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36014245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee82…8237backed Over52c2,698$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6484…bf40backed Over52c2,674$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c2,568$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.6837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c05…a21fbacked Under48c2,553$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277b…16f4backed Under48c2,546$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,539$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fd…2dbabacked Under48c2,539$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc077…fa2abacked Over52c2,386$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c2,339$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.3880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa08c…e504backed Under50c2,280$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf72…240abacked Over51c2,254$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over50c2,133$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0408756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over31c1,617$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0928842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,543$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,523$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over50c1,520$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over70c1,433$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c1,281$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.383,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c1,123$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Over50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under37c991.21$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over51c980.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9811242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c726.48$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.514,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c706$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3536,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under50c534$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over66c531.6$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1516162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c526.8$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c498.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.499,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under48c409$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc783…394fbacked Over50c405.86$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e5…687fbacked Under51c399.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c374.23$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.61,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over53c368$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0413954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over56c366.61$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2058540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c324.41$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15328348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6f…d5ccbacked Under50c299.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c278$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.781,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over49c246.53$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12113148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under50c239$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.510251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over51c216$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c207.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Under49c204.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.149524.2%23 W · 72 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under48c199.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05d…b812backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.083056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.56248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under50c178.29$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under50c172.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under60c165.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Over9c163.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.545036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under50c159.69$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.54847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c148.08$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under50c141.24$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over52c120.19$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over50c117$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9545251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x648e…0fd3backed Over51c104.39$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0435849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.