NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d61e75a328f6fb8c6fdaa56f630925718c20b8503c4accb75ec0ce0c81612be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,500 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 6,857$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 47c | 6,388$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,886$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 51c | 1,186$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.41 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 933.07$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 904.78$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.33 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 900$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Under | 53c | 610$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 56c | 580.36$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 513$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 330$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 263.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 52c | 215.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 194.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Over | 48c | 161.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 130.28$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Over | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Over | 54c | 88.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 63.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 62.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 58.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 58.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 45c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Over | 45c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 45c | 31.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Over | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 26.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 22.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 47c | 22.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Under | 69c | 18.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)76ers won
- Adem Bona: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)76ers won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers76ers won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5Under won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.