NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57d3c4839d341bfb90207f554ec7556882202cd3e972c9c0f9dac946d1f01d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Bruins, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Bruins | 32c | 6,767$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.5 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rangers | 68c | 2,582$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.35 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Bruins | 34c | 1,979$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Rangers | 67c | 1,563$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.77 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 65c | 1,460$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Rangers | 57c | 883.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rangers | 67c | 801.36$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rangers | 67c | 794$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.02 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Bruins | 33c | 466.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 67c | 371.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bruins | 44c | 354.88$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 61c | 325$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Bruins | 33c | 269.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 67c | 210$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bruins | 32c | 187.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Bruins | 33c | 164.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Bruins | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Rangers | 62c | 150.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bruins | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Bruins | 32c | 102$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…cc32backed Bruins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 43c | 96.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Bruins | 32c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bruins | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 69c | 87.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bruins | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Rangers | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Bruins | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Bruins | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Bruins | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…4da9backed Bruins | 32c | 59.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Bruins | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rangers | 68c | 47.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Bruins | 33c | 45.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bruins | 32c | 40.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bruins | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Rangers | 67c | 29.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Rangers | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Rangers | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Rangers | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Rangers | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Rangers | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Rangers | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Rangers | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Rangers | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Rangers | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Rangers | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rangers | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Rangers | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Rangers | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. RangersRangers won
- Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.