NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b74c5840ecc8ea9b767806edd5b6efb65f125b21fef8fe224b646a477fd5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Rangers, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 28c | 413.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 72c | 295.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 33c | 191.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Bruins | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Rangers | 29c | 138.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 71c | 126.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Rangers | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bruins | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Rangers | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bruins | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Rangers | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bruins | 68c | 43.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Bruins | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bruins | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Bruins | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Bruins | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Bruins | 72c | 26.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Bruins | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Bruins | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Bruins | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Bruins | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Bruins | 74c | 22.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Bruins | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Bruins | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Bruins | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Bruins | 73c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. RangersRangers won
- Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.