Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb271656d2b2371f42685d12ad5ff24a6217f95588a35d22439a95dca50a2c412
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IU Indy Jaguarsof Robert Morris Colonials, IU Indy Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed IU Indy Jaguars | 10c | 5,892$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288.37 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 3,610$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 52c | 1,559$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.02 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed IU Indy Jaguars | 23c | 1,303$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.58 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 1,209$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.35 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed IU Indy Jaguars | 36c | 879.43$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 27c | 741.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed IU Indy Jaguars | 44c | 728.36$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed IU Indy Jaguars | 45c | 683.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.55 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Robert Morris Colonials | 56c | 549.33$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 29c | 544.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 515.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.7 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 39c | 374.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 7c | 314$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed IU Indy Jaguars | 36c | 275$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 37c | 272.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 263.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Robert Morris Colonials | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 247.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 204$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed IU Indy Jaguars | 40c | 198.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Robert Morris Colonials | 68c | 179.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 60c | 166.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 151.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 66c | 149.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 66c | 146.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Robert Morris Colonials | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 126.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed IU Indy Jaguars | 38c | 120.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 120.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ff55backed IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed IU Indy Jaguars | 26c | 119$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed IU Indy Jaguars | 34c | 111$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed IU Indy Jaguars | 45c | 99.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 33c | 91.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Robert Morris Colonials | 61c | 74.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 73.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…bb51backed Robert Morris Colonials | 18c | 71.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 56c | 68.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e01…ad8ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 19c | 66.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 71c | 60.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f8…3970backed IU Indy Jaguars | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Robert Morris Colonials | 72c | 40.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Robert Morris Colonials | 41c | 37.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d2…fa44backed IU Indy Jaguars | 31c | 32.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…f288backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 32.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Robert Morris Colonials | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…067dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 22.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd363…e6d1backed Robert Morris Colonials | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…9ad2backed Robert Morris Colonials | 69c | 18.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…db07backed IU Indy Jaguars | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…2d76backed Robert Morris Colonials | 79c | 13.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguarsthis page
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 157.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 158.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 159.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 160.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 162.5Over won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-4.5)IU Indy Jaguars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.