TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$889,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$891,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c410,138$213,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,192.4235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Over48c250,000$120,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130,0004148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c99,095$47,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,529.669142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under52c61,049$31,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,737.0921754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c42,433$20,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,214.7490645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over48c30,000$14,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,6004050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c29,599$13,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,940.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635c…45c6backed Under56c26,774$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under53c17,627$9,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,290.925759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over47c11,837$5,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,252.9342246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Over49c11,166$5,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,734.655858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over48c11,111$5,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,777.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over46c10,213$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,469.98749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2007353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c4,625$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0802759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under52c3,826$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.6210441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over48c3,367$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.345143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over47c3,221$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.3721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over47c3,200$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69614647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c3,114$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.224,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over48c2,736$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.7917050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4940…05cbbacked Over48c2,060$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c1,900$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under53c1,735$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3716954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62410652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over44c1,161$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.962,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50041752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over46c940$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.632751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c770.83$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c750$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42549746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over64c742$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.598747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c696$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34855749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79d1…68b3backed Under5c657.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.872814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over50c600.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3825556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over61c591.92$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7635050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under53c552.34$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.746445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over46c499$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4674152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over44c496.6$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.15556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+36%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over47c420.97$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0113350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6727045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over49c400.63$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under53c395$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3510049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Under53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under17c313.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.327955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…a4babacked Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over48c224.61$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.821050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c212.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0411159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3350546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Under53c207.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.819056.7%51 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019555.4%108 W · 87 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x181e…1dfcbacked Under53c189.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Over44c182.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913851.4%71 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c154.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.792,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f2…bc84backed Under53c133.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.896654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9a…b04fbacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2114151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed Under55c94.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…e0e5backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e2…cc98backed Under53c93.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over49c90.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0215844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Over46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over49c84.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1618646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3323754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c74.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…f0ccbacked Under52c74.2$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.584360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Under54c72.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.071030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e0f…a96bbacked Under56c71.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under53c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.573745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over46c65.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.933663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831,12446.4%521 W · 603 L-25.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfdc…0133backed Over50c59.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.712650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c3…be5abacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Under51c52.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5441354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Over51c44.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.733554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Under53c43.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.823053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under53c42.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5812560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.554755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad62…c7dfbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.825549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…9975backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Under53c39.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c37.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.743,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ea…165fbacked Over49c36.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Over50c34.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.125763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Over47c33.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.