Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb28c9bd0f561debee1655ffd7c181eab96e0082773e83254931b7fbdc6c6b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Under | 43c | 25,460$10,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,466.33 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 59c | 10,197$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Under | 47c | 9,030$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 55c | 6,572$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.32 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 55c | 4,302$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 3,688$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.26 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 2,702$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 2,087$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 50c | 1,436$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.96 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 47c | 1,434$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.63 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 40c | 969.52$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.54 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 884$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 36c | 768.76$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 60c | 560.88$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 65c | 490$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 44c | 420.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 74c | 399.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…324fbacked Over | 44c | 345.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 189.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 45c | 151.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 42c | 150.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 134.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 55c | 124.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Under | 46c | 109.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 75c | 91.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Over | 49c | 84.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Under | 54c | 77.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 63.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 59.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 59.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 46c | 58.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 51c | 55.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…4814backed Over | 48c | 38.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 34.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked Under | 59c | 33.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Over | 66c | 29.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 27.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 56c | 26.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Under | 53c | 26.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 55c | 25.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 157.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor BearsOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 158.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.