Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedccbbd7b379ba4d2f48b869a0f806751cda44d20b2e3fc4fbcd69cb4567b84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 4,381$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 2,775$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.87 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 2,618$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 2,201$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.56 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oklahoma Sooners | 50c | 922.73$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Baylor Bears | 56c | 464.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners | 56c | 371.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 243.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 182.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Baylor Bears | 56c | 181.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Oklahoma Sooners | 47c | 178.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 45c | 162.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 43c | 138.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears | 45c | 111.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 99.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Baylor Bears | 57c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Oklahoma Sooners | 51c | 88.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…324fbacked Baylor Bears | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Baylor Bears | 40c | 60.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baylor Bears | 29c | 55.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Oklahoma Sooners | 46c | 41.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Baylor Bears | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baylor Bears | 54c | 36.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Baylor Bears | 55c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 35.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 59c | 30.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Baylor Bears | 39c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 25.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Oklahoma Sooners | 79c | 23.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oklahoma Sooners | 43c | 23.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Baylor Bears | 59c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor BearsOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 157.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 158.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.