Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Baylor Bears (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7deb562b5d9f96a1f0d90b7458e314d14b5ddf0116fd209defc8b84a7e3bfd95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Baylor Bears, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 26,987$14,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,026.21 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baylor Bears | 47c | 23,562$10,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 20,800$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Oklahoma Sooners | 48c | 6,207$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.49 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 2,533$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.73 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 1,445$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.06 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 31c | 340.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Baylor Bears | 31c | 99.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Baylor Bears | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baylor Bears | 31c | 59.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Baylor Bears | 45c | 41.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Baylor Bears (-1.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor BearsOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 157.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 158.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-1.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.