TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pegulaof Gauff, Pegula
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Gauff49c23,529$11,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,538.734647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pegula58c21,451$12,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,114.678,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pegula54c19,651$10,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,985.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pegula52c12,532$6,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,995.951,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Gauff59c12,110$7,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.257857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gauff43c11,168$4,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,836.926,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Pegula50c10,079$5,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.3816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Pegula69c9,171$6,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.862944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pegula50c7,756$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.82,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pegula49c7,064$3,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.9611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Pegula36c5,854$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.9513935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pegula41c5,746$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,389.910845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Gauff63c5,213$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.3527063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Gauff47c5,176$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.34628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x669e…035bbacked Gauff32c4,838$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.1310186.1%87 W · 14 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Gauff64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9201,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Gauff55c2,831$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.652864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pegula65c2,626$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.2411053.6%59 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Gauff42c2,514$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.4815048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Gauff47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Gauff54c2,404$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.624558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…6b90backed Gauff42c2,370$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.562166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Gauff44c2,245$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.8924544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Gauff46c2,176$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.317028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0d…da12backed Gauff64c2,148$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…36f4backed Gauff64c2,008$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Pegula49c1,878$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.0475547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Gauff56c1,831$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.9614546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0981…fc82backed Gauff64c1,796$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.650%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Pegula55c1,718$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.733557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Gauff41c1,531$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.0411943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pegula52c1,497$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.892,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pegula37c1,492$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.861,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d7…126cbacked Gauff70c1,421$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Gauff39c1,255$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.482050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Pegula62c1,172$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.776747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b0…b0d0backed Gauff64c1,126$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.6450%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…201cbacked Pegula36c1,126$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd4…5a43backed Pegula36c1,125$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc925…ddd6backed Gauff64c1,124$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeafb…d595backed Pegula36c1,124$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Gauff39c1,104$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5628833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Gauff40c1,048$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.375339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc96c…0fb2backed Gauff53c1,041$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56af…08a0backed Pegula36c1,036$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc157…0495backed Gauff64c1,036$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…e2f5backed Gauff64c1,034$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5b…d06cbacked Pegula36c1,034$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4143…f7a4backed Pegula36c1,032$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fdb…520fbacked Pegula36c1,023$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Gauff50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pegula69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3107276.4%55 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Gauff63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf135…adc6backed Gauff64c999$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891a…917dbacked Pegula36c987$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84eb…cf94backed Pegula36c976$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed78…e85dbacked Pegula36c963$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb49…3adebacked Gauff64c951$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…7a5abacked Pegula36c931$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Gauff27c900$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2396930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b8…04afbacked Pegula36c869$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.165100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+80.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Gauff57c859.79$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.444740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x947f…fb99backed Gauff55c850$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4671216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eca…5130backed Gauff64c789$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.96580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15b2…8a77backed Pegula36c753$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf1a…417fbacked Pegula36c741$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Pegula37c721.62$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6228952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3872…78d1backed Gauff64c705$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Gauff64c700$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Pegula34c678.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.2244125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf0…c907backed Gauff32c657.03$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+114.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e70…aee2backed Gauff45c614.31$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Gauff43c601$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Pegula50c587.69$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.858052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Gauff53c563.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Gauff39c559.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.534440.9%18 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Pegula58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2312548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Gauff47c511.7$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Gauff51c510.54$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.425450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Gauff43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.55040%20 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Gauff55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Pegula60c491.08$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.31,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Gauff37c484.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Pegula65c453.85$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.851650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Pegula45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.444650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2a…c0eebacked Pegula74c428.96$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Gauff42c411.78$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17549749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Gauff49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Pegula52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.627751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Pegula46c379.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8314243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Gauff49c358$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4240141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pegula35c354.06$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.1455143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Gauff58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf384…e357backed Gauff53c338.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Gauff41c328.44$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13517442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…5577backed Pegula61c316.34$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick30cpaid+137%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Gauff37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Gauff53c286.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8222744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Pegula64c260.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.157057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Gauff37c259.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.