Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a453f47bd42ef736ae3620146dce04c7b412fdca5fd827f5739ba1d86fdfbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 35c | 9,805$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 5,722$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 5,686$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.05 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 65c | 951.4$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.34 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 79c | 928.45$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 77c | 775$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 22c | 705.26$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 67c | 617.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 37c | 612$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 10c | 509.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 297$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 39c | 257.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 35c | 179.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 24c | 175$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 65c | 112.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…4216backed Yes | 33c | 108.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…02cbbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…abccbacked Yes | 33c | 43.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…8233backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.