Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8f090d54a4c0ca78848d74c539724559c9bc9b49514937f6211f03a95d4f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.97 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 1,974$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.63 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 31c | 1,886$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.66 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…bffebacked No | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 29c | 830.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 587.12$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 493$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 58c | 88.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 30c | 37.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed No | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 78c | 31.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.