Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9958b3ce06baf10ad2fd03bac5129bb600492bb8f1cbf3b00e73e1afa46139b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 3,065$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.04 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 811.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.92 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 61c | 300$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 40c | 273.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 242.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 34c | 222.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 36c | 199.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 61c | 137.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa418…9438backed Yes | 39c | 131.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 120.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…fab4backed No | 62c | 115.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…6c72backed No | 62c | 102.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…fdc9backed Yes | 39c | 96.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce17…716abacked Yes | 39c | 87.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 36c | 85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…72f6backed No | 63c | 74.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 66c | 68.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes | 39c | 59.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…5a07backed Yes | 39c | 51.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…0a95backed Yes | 39c | 46.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…d4ddbacked No | 63c | 35.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…2ec6backed Yes | 55c | 27.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 27.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 59c | 26.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 62c | 17.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.