Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7068edb85143e8e54498eb8dc934ebedd550f943d8d63579e4cbc7e9469fda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 650,528$344,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344,729.88 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 420,000$197,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,600 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 20,153$9,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,681.3 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 2,267$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 54c | 753$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.79 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 46c | 437.04$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 51c | 428.24$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.84 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Under | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 317.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.44 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 45c | 309.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 298.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 46c | 284$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 51c | 262.03$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 47c | 191$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 168.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 51c | 144.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 134.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Under | 54c | 117.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Under | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 50c | 91.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 74.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…515bbacked Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 48c | 61.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…9ddcbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…85a2backed Under | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Over | 47c | 22.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…6d65backed Under | 65c | 21.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 21.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 55c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…af5dbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…db4cbacked Under | 54c | 19.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5this page
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's MountaineersMount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-8.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.