Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08183f8175224f3f9cec807b2099f8f32ab4aab7fc64c842eccd9fb31c8a0a8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.25 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,853$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 51c | 975.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 50c | 750$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 44c | 246.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 48c | 210.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 43.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…86f9backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 137.5this page
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's MountaineersMount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
- Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-8.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.