TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 144.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$664,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c558,964$301,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,627.7235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under46c150,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,999.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c120,000$55,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,80069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under46c115,000$53,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,90021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under46c100,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under46c75,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,5009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under47c33,088$15,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,536.5430249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over54c28,750$15,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,5254047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c25,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,50090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over54c13,100$7,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,07410441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2408946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,18035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under46c5,956$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.033756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c5,631$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,984.294454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under48c5,434$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.688747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c4,663$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under47c4,000$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,13042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4921248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under47c1,988$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.8116954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under46c1,957$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.525143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c1,132$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.284,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6755749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over54c963.66$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over54c655$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.732146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c574.47$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.4779448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Under47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.919551.6%49 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under59c277.87$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.875959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over54c257.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.99440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7749849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under47c151.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over40c144.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over19c131.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.373,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under47c121$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1310049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under51c115$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382075%15 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.177661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.258750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8719657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under47c97.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8718656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.742657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Under48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.756556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.334,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285c…ca54backed Under62c80.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5613…d53bbacked Under62c80.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4311449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under48c68.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.867251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over40c65.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.013,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.523754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Under47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.84055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under47c59.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4821059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under47c55.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3519653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under48c54.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…57ffbacked Over54c54.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.193941%16 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under46c52.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under47c50.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.536349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c48.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c45.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.125,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.856653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2534649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2078052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under47c38.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.372853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Under47c37.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.674951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under48c33.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4417258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Under47c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.285763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa3d3…1a9ebacked Under62c32.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under47c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.963745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.662753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c29.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.985,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Under47c28.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8611858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Under47c27.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6610058%58 W · 42 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Under48c27.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.088452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.968547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a3…0a78backed Under47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1912054.2%65 W · 55 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under47c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.525058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.