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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgia State Panthersof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Georgia State Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf746…f71ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c8,966$4,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,440.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia State Panthers51c6,764$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.142,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Georgia State Panthers58c6,623$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,794.381,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia State Panthers57c4,978$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.052,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c4,393$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e19…59f3backed Georgia State Panthers52c3,854$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9b…1220backed Georgia State Panthers52c3,687$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6442…ff0fbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c3,653$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.2230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0a4…e453backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c2,236$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c1,923$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cf…1cc3backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c1,653$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Georgia State Panthers54c1,406$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.484,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles44c1,220$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c1,114$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Georgia State Panthers56c1,097$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.0681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c951$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Georgia State Panthers58c948$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.131,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Georgia State Panthers49c929.85$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.971,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c900$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38235243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles51c645.89$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6924444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Georgia State Panthers54c494.44$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4440755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Georgia State Panthers43c480.78$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.957540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c473.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19913444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c470$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3913342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c444$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9211347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14729442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c340$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8835050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles26c308.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c298$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1691848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia State Panthers56c283.93$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers59c265.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Georgia State Panthers37c250$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c200.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles44c113.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.867234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c104.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7817943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles60c97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.972248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Georgia State Panthers48c88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.113,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State Panthers59c86.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c83.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0615947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles39c82.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.012,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Georgia State Panthers57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1824649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Georgia State Panthers55c70.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.554,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c69.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles42c50.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.186349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles49c49.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.152,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Georgia State Panthers48c48.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Georgia State Panthers55c45.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…c634backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles46c42.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers32c40.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles43c38.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgia State Panthers75c36.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.091,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State Panthers69c34.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7531…3f6fbacked Georgia State Panthers55c26.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8c…e0b0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c26.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.982045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d2…fa44backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles45c24.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…2ce2backed Georgia State Panthers55c24.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.152458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles44c23.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.499440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles48c20.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0716952.7%89 W · 80 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles63c20.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.994553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.