Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf97520e4083ac75096afbf91f912a7b67ee3ab07b792d8a1a6e5d6d22d26f478
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 630,999$334,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296,594.86 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 47c | 218,991$102,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,925.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 154,694$72,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,706.31 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 25,374$12,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,406.57 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 51c | 20,286$10,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,943.23 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 12,800$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 12,028$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.45 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Under | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,290 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 5,319$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 51c | 4,386$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.32 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 3,178$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.44 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 2,303$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.49 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 51c | 458.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 63c | 287.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 53c | 251.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 50c | 236.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 49c | 156.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 53c | 128$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 80.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 75.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under | 49c | 68.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 64.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 57.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 53c | 54.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 52c | 43.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 51c | 43.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 33.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 48c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 49c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 49c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 52c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Northeastern Huskies (-3.5)Stony Brook Seawolves won
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern HuskiesStony Brook Seawolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.