TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Dakota State Bison vs. Denver Pioneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota State Bison, Denver Pioneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed North Dakota State Bison66c462,582$305,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,286.235945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Denver Pioneers34c250,000$85,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Denver Pioneers34c186,309$63,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,345.169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Denver Pioneers36c27,580$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked North Dakota State Bison64c22,140$14,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,970.273745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Denver Pioneers35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Denver Pioneers34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers34c3,983$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Dakota State Bison66c2,831$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Denver Pioneers36c2,729$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Denver Pioneers37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Denver Pioneers35c2,356$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.689856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Denver Pioneers36c2,083$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed North Dakota State Bison65c1,225$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison67c1,155$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Dakota State Bison63c996.99$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.892,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison63c938.12$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Denver Pioneers12c854.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10094036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Denver Pioneers34c839.45$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Denver Pioneers37c827.08$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Denver Pioneers35c790.81$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked North Dakota State Bison65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.234060%24 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Denver Pioneers35c760.05$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.313840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Denver Pioneers36c716.36$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.893043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed North Dakota State Bison55c675.5$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2518654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Denver Pioneers19c636.84$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Denver Pioneers34c603$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.652,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Denver Pioneers29c596$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.475520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked North Dakota State Bison69c585.9$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae84…fd9dbacked Denver Pioneers34c585.29$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1992330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Denver Pioneers33c564$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.222050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Denver Pioneers19c526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.941,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Denver Pioneers37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1483053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Denver Pioneers34c326.47$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11118650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Denver Pioneers14c296.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.281,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Denver Pioneers37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.58750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Denver Pioneers37c250$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Denver Pioneers36c236.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x490c…98e5backed Denver Pioneers36c230.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Denver Pioneers37c229.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed North Dakota State Bison64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7235243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Denver Pioneers30c178.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.766648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Denver Pioneers35c178.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4813735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Denver Pioneers17c167.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.021,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Denver Pioneers24c153.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.242,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Denver Pioneers27c147.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed North Dakota State Bison61c145$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed North Dakota State Bison64c142.6$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Denver Pioneers37c136.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed North Dakota State Bison54c128$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked North Dakota State Bison65c122.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.947234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Denver Pioneers17c115.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a1…7066backed Denver Pioneers36c111.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Denver Pioneers36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe418…9046backed North Dakota State Bison71c107.67$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4819…c342backed Denver Pioneers37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Denver Pioneers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49e…38c5backed North Dakota State Bison76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf935…5cfdbacked North Dakota State Bison80c99.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3b…2077backed North Dakota State Bison80c98.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Denver Pioneers36c91.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.084951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65a…632cbacked North Dakota State Bison60c82.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec5…2444backed North Dakota State Bison60c82.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.177100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Denver Pioneers37c81.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1717258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Denver Pioneers35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed North Dakota State Bison76c78.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1224444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Dakota State Bison78c78.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06b8…7469backed North Dakota State Bison63c77.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881f…6de2backed North Dakota State Bison63c77.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f58…f645backed North Dakota State Bison64c77.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed North Dakota State Bison65c76.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7653646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Denver Pioneers34c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Denver Pioneers37c70.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Denver Pioneers34c70.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8412341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Denver Pioneers20c67.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.798140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be1…16a6backed North Dakota State Bison72c67.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Denver Pioneers27c65.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.917812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4e27…a66bbacked North Dakota State Bison76c65.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…2633backed North Dakota State Bison72c64.68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Denver Pioneers34c62.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2852928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf289…0514backed North Dakota State Bison80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x173d…9f81backed North Dakota State Bison80c62.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota State Bison66c61.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.764,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Denver Pioneers35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9525436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed Denver Pioneers36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Denver Pioneers35c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Dakota State Bison71c54.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Denver Pioneers36c50.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.429037.8%34 W · 56 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Denver Pioneers36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Denver Pioneers35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Denver Pioneers35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd562…b6d1backed Denver Pioneers35c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.445763.2%36 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Denver Pioneers32c42.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Denver Pioneers36c41.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1111858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d6…a56abacked Denver Pioneers36c41.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.892544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf389…e45dbacked Denver Pioneers34c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.945549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Denver Pioneers37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Denver Pioneers35c38.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.417844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6e6…7cf7backed North Dakota State Bison63c31.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6427…56bbbacked North Dakota State Bison64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.