Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f0a0003f35fa5c729e91625d6de5e055ea1a111902eb729d51ab42f77758ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 49c | 4,110$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.37 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 1,693$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 65c | 1,550$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,209$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.43 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 52c | 790.1$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.25 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 52c | 399.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked No | 54c | 361.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 54c | 361$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 48c | 360.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 233.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 53c | 221.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 184$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 149.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…f7f9backed Yes | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 58c | 114.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes | 22c | 71.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 54c | 25.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed No | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 60c | 19.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed No | 79c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.