Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab636f93cd1809bbdad40c50947d290c6fbd772cd6774b71f13cf12624be02f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Danilovicof Danilovic, Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Williams | 0c | 51,498$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Williams | 54c | 8,172$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.1 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Danilovic | 65c | 6,500$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Williams | 33c | 6,171$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Williams | 33c | 5,608$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.11 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Danilovic | 67c | 3,846$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.81 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Danilovic | 76c | 3,225$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Williams | 15c | 3,054$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.87 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Danilovic | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.45 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Danilovic | 75c | 2,887$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.72 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Williams | 14c | 2,700$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.1 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Williams | 34c | 2,274$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.35 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Williams | 29c | 2,222$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…e5afbacked Danilovic | 56c | 1,974$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Williams | 22c | 1,948$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Williams | 37c | 1,498$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.96 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Williams | 16c | 1,339$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Danilovic | 70c | 1,275$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Danilovic | 60c | 1,213$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.4 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Danilovic | 61c | 1,203$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Williams | 52c | 1,056$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.41 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Danilovic | 63c | 888$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…f314backed Williams | 17c | 874.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Danilovic | 64c | 712.05$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Williams | 18c | 701$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Danilovic | 78c | 682.42$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Williams | 22c | 668.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Williams | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Danilovic | 60c | 618$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.2 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Danilovic | 56c | 603.05$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e1…86b5backed Williams | 18c | 600$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Williams | 22c | 550.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Williams | 28c | 539.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Williams | 19c | 527.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Danilovic | 74c | 511.65$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Williams | 36c | 480$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Danilovic | 46c | 431.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Williams | 8c | 429.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Danilovic | 68c | 411.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Danilovic | 77c | 349.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Danilovic | 78c | 346.83$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Williams | 65c | 338.46$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Williams | 70c | 329.25$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.47 | 1,151 | 44.4%511 W · 640 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Danilovic | 56c | 322.18$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Danilovic | 75c | 286.21$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Danilovic | 8c | 280.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Williams | 24c | 274.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Williams | 27c | 269.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Williams | 11c | 239.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Williams | 35c | 222.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Williams | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Danilovic | 66c | 218.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Williams | 43c | 210.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Danilovic | 60c | 206.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…35efbacked Danilovic | 16c | 206$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Williams | 27c | 201.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…9d9bbacked Williams | 16c | 199.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Danilovic | 50c | 199.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Williams | 60c | 178.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…5e8fbacked Danilovic | 78c | 169.27$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed Danilovic | 78c | 167.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Williams | 26c | 155.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Williams | 19c | 152.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Danilovic | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Williams | 12c | 143.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…713ebacked Williams | 28c | 143.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Danilovic | 67c | 139.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…7f7cbacked Williams | 24c | 136.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Danilovic | 79c | 135.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Danilovic | 77c | 134$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Williams | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Williams | 34c | 128.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17c…c133backed Williams | 20c | 112.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58a…ca54backed Danilovic | 74c | 109.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…b596backed Williams | 28c | 106.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Danilovic | 38c | 106.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Williams | 28c | 105.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Williams | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 53.9%192 W · 164 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Williams | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Williams | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…3b30backed Danilovic | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Williams | 60c | 99.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Williams | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Williams | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Williams | 24c | 89.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Danilovic | 74c | 85.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Danilovic | 57c | 84.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Williams | 29c | 77.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Williams | 60c | 66.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Danilovic | 64c | 66.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Danilovic | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Williams | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 924 | 48.7%450 W · 474 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9de…d20cbacked Williams | 29c | 59.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Danilovic | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7c…ca88backed Danilovic | 71c | 56.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Danilovic | 75c | 48.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Danilovic | 69c | 46.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Danilovic | 56c | 41.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Danilovic | 64c | 41.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…b81fbacked Williams | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williamsthis page
- Danilovic vs. Williams: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Danilovic vs. Williams: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Danilovic vs WilliamsWilliams won
- Set Handicap: Danilovic (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)Williams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.