Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f1e034fdda5d84e3dcb324e6704e676ad3420b351c58e8ce7748ed85bd4a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 9,700$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 9,125$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.78 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 3,217$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.31 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Under | 52c | 2,570$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.97 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 2,400$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,133$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,749$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,246$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Over | 42c | 577$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.8wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 52c | 301.68$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 56c | 285$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 227.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 51c | 195.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 60c | 148.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 52c | 146.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 53c | 118.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 55c | 113.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 53c | 63.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 52c | 62.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 52.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Over | 51c | 50.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…9589backed Under | 38c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 45.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 50c | 30.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 50c | 24.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…5bedbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 54c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 155.5this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado BuffaloesKansas Jayhawks won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.