Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598e5c6eb78fc2fd795a74fb8bc544f554a098aceee09d8418f5909ac4c2eb3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 1,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas Jayhawks | 46c | 1,864$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 1,127$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.26 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado Buffaloes | 56c | 975.69$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 700.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 666.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas Jayhawks | 56c | 550.81$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas Jayhawks | 47c | 432.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Kansas Jayhawks | 41c | 296$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 225.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 55c | 225.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Colorado Buffaloes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas Jayhawks | 50c | 144.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Colorado Buffaloes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 22c | 80.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 79.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Colorado Buffaloes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Kansas Jayhawks | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 46c | 48.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kansas Jayhawks | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Kansas Jayhawks | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 24.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)this page
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado BuffaloesKansas Jayhawks won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 155.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 156.5Under won
- Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)Kansas Jayhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.