TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, KOLESIE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4132…a5a5backed Nuclear TigeRES63c4,040$2,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,480.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed KOLESIE21c4,039$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.093240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Nuclear TigeRES57c2,462$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.8184958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked KOLESIE43c1,250$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.1561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked KOLESIE55c1,200$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.527530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed KOLESIE24c1,100$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9912021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nuclear TigeRES72c948.14$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.43,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked KOLESIE28c691.68$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES64c663.13$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.62,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed KOLESIE43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8535…2024backed Nuclear TigeRES80c421.22$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE17c344.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.963,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked KOLESIE36c328.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.265655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed KOLESIE10c327.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.431,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed Nuclear TigeRES56c318.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2418543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE43c250$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.415,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed KOLESIE43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009433%31 W · 63 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Nuclear TigeRES58c180.01$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.864535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Nuclear TigeRES57c125.06$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.141,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed KOLESIE43c124.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6124451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed KOLESIE42c118.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked KOLESIE38c99.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3838636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE26c87.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.622,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked KOLESIE55c87.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483959%23 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked KOLESIE27c84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed KOLESIE38c83.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6143442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES58c82.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Nuclear TigeRES58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked KOLESIE43c79.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.066145.9%28 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Nuclear TigeRES66c78.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.054429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked KOLESIE34c77.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Nuclear TigeRES67c66.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.066827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nuclear TigeRES73c63.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7269863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked KOLESIE23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Nuclear TigeRES63c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Nuclear TigeRES58c52.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.055248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked KOLESIE51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed KOLESIE43c49.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.452828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ca…6725backed KOLESIE57c45.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked KOLESIE46c36.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Nuclear TigeRES71c35.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3320243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c7c…ca88backed KOLESIE43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…7ab7backed Nuclear TigeRES60c32.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Nuclear TigeRES63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7567651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc9…c0f6backed Nuclear TigeRES75c31.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Nuclear TigeRES57c25.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.936328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Nuclear TigeRES80c25.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Nuclear TigeRES75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.256726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nuclear TigeRES54c24.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2122931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed KOLESIE42c24.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd49a…9aa4backed Nuclear TigeRES58c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfe…bdd0backed Nuclear TigeRES77c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba82…8abdbacked Nuclear TigeRES62c19.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf837…8b61backed Nuclear TigeRES78c17.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.813151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed Nuclear TigeRES73c15.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0a…0f18backed Nuclear TigeRES74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.