Tennis · resolved market
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x380c6f662ac54a1bc7c700e6a15c8604ccab80546015c3ae74e739cf78321eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shangof Sonego, Shang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Sonego | 17c | 27,491$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Sonego | 11c | 14,550$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shang | 75c | 9,486$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.98 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…8dc7backed Sonego | 46c | 7,610$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Sonego | 12c | 6,903$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang | 71c | 4,847$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Sonego | 12c | 4,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shang | 62c | 3,336$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Sonego | 52c | 2,882$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.04 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Sonego | 13c | 2,290$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sonego | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Sonego | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shang | 56c | 1,440$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.38 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Sonego | 42c | 1,216$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.8 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shang | 75c | 1,028$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Sonego | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Sonego | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…ffa8backed Sonego | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Sonego | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Shang | 58c | 974.53$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.3 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shang | 56c | 929.3$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.36 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Sonego | 34c | 894.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Shang | 60c | 828.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shang | 58c | 822.14$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.63 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Sonego | 6c | 760.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164e…c2a2backed Sonego | 44c | 704.66$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…670bbacked Sonego | 44c | 699.54$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.57 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Sonego | 6c | 600.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Sonego | 23c | 526.89$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sonego | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Sonego | 42c | 476.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Shang | 56c | 443.32$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Sonego | 5c | 409.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sonego | 4c | 394.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Sonego | 40c | 388.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sonego | 42c | 379.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Shang | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Shang | 68c | 330.24$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Sonego | 9c | 328$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Sonego | 4c | 308.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Sonego | 22c | 304.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Shang | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Shang | 74c | 285.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Shang | 80c | 258.17$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Sonego | 43c | 229.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sonego | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Shang | 12c | 209.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.54 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Sonego | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Shang | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Shang | 58c | 199.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shang | 80c | 195$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shang | 58c | 190$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sonego | 42c | 177.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sonego | 25c | 172.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Sonego | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sonego | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shang | 73c | 155.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sonego | 10c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Sonego | 49c | 144.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sonego | 11c | 142.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Shang | 79c | 141$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shang | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Shang | 60c | 124.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Sonego | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…027cbacked Sonego | 9c | 118.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sonego | 19c | 113.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sonego | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Sonego | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ff…9b95backed Sonego | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Sonego | 27c | 74.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Sonego | 50c | 70.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…16e3backed Sonego | 35c | 67.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Shang | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Sonego | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Sonego | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Sonego | 44c | 56.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Sonego | 41c | 56.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Shang | 79c | 54.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Shang | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sonego | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Shang | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Sonego | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Sonego | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…56c5backed Sonego | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…2795backed Shang | 61c | 47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Sonego | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…5c52backed Sonego | 43c | 46.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Shang | 58c | 42.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shang | 58c | 41.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sonego | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Shang | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Shang | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Shang | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Shang | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Shang | 64c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Shang | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 350 | 51.1%179 W · 171 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Shang | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sonego | 43c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Shang | 64c | 22.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Shang | 57c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shangthis page
- Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)Shang won
- Sonego vs. Shang: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Sonego vs. Shang: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.