Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd909f2608e0fccedaf7ad1ab35c03613e81cb1cbda31160164c9286632a1c767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spizzirriof Garin, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae47…4248backed Garin | 42c | 7,380$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…4ecebacked Spizzirri | 58c | 4,138$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7406…0992backed Spizzirri | 58c | 3,242$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Garin | 13c | 2,327$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.41 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Garin | 20c | 1,374$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Garin | 2c | 1,006$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spizzirri | 55c | 980.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Garin | 34c | 839.74$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Garin | 9c | 812.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Garin | 45c | 684.65$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Spizzirri | 59c | 651.25$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.22 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…f6c8backed Spizzirri | 65c | 623.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Garin | 45c | 559.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Garin | 2c | 539.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Garin | 13c | 514$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Spizzirri | 58c | 513.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Spizzirri | 56c | 495.18$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.88 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Garin | 45c | 476.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Spizzirri | 55c | 436.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Garin | 41c | 384.82$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Garin | 10c | 349.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Spizzirri | 58c | 345.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Garin | 11c | 344.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Spizzirri | 60c | 332.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Spizzirri | 66c | 308.34$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Garin | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Garin | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Garin | 44c | 226.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spizzirri | 60c | 198.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Garin | 11c | 179.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Garin | 44c | 179.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Garin | 25c | 163.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Garin | 40c | 155.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Spizzirri | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spizzirri | 73c | 136.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Garin | 43c | 101.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Garin | 40c | 98.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Spizzirri | 59c | 83.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +5.6wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Spizzirri | 57c | 79.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garin | 41c | 77.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Garin | 41c | 66.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…5c54backed Spizzirri | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Garin | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Garin | 45c | 51.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Spizzirri | 58c | 51.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Garin | 20c | 50.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…70e3backed Garin | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Spizzirri | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Garin | 36c | 41.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Spizzirri | 60c | 40.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Spizzirri | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spizzirri | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Garin | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…6680backed Spizzirri | 80c | 36.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Spizzirri | 80c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Spizzirri | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Spizzirri | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Spizzirri | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Spizzirri | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Garin | 45c | 24.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…f50fbacked Spizzirri | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Spizzirri | 61c | 18.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Spizzirri | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…1c5ebacked Spizzirri | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Spizzirri | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 79cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.