Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d775bfd19753fc0e3bfd25c16677a3e3a4f4cf55300122ccb3b31de328abfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 581.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 69c | 500.2$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 319.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Under | 35c | 283.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Under | 22c | 195$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 194.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.27 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…405fbacked Over | 78c | 105$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 19c | 90$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Over | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Over | 72c | 34.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…9c06backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…639ebacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…64e3backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 28.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe808…3ee4backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.