Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd9dd7cf9a2faf8b3eab36fa7eefaa4d63e6b7d15c8704ae85a7b727c9f76b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 42c | 161,020$67,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,845.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,700 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Over | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 5,368$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.71 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Over | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 4,215$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,047$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 58c | 1,600$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 42c | 1,577$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 59c | 1,340$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 59c | 1,023$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.84 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 54c | 750.59$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 55c | 730.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 41c | 584.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 46c | 542.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.95 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 59c | 458.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 57c | 450$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 59c | 359.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 341.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.7 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 60c | 290$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 55c | 274.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 58c | 201.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 59c | 148.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 59c | 137.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 56c | 106.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…8201backed Over | 54c | 104.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa5…d7e2backed Under | 47c | 102.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 58c | 98.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 52c | 96.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 61c | 81.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Over | 59c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…aa70backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 58c | 55.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…f5efbacked Over | 59c | 55.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Over | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be8…907cbacked Over | 53c | 47.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…3528backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 59c | 33.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…084dbacked Over | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked Over | 59c | 17.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.