Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c6332e6332c534fdd85707d75619aa48081d07e905a04f9256a5b8269430fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocciarettoof Bondar, Cocciaretto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Cocciaretto | 75c | 5,176$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.3 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cocciaretto | 47c | 4,427$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.78 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bondar | 53c | 3,312$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.21 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Bondar | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bondar | 25c | 2,185$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bondar | 27c | 1,120$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.12 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Cocciaretto | 56c | 1,005$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cocciaretto | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Cocciaretto | 76c | 787.21$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bondar | 24c | 761.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bondar | 24c | 656.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bondar | 24c | 412.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bondar | 45c | 358.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Bondar | 57c | 353.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Bondar | 53c | 228.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bondar | 32c | 191.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Bondar | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…6678backed Cocciaretto | 76c | 131.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed Cocciaretto | 77c | 130.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Bondar | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cocciaretto | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bondar | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Cocciaretto | 76c | 86.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Bondar | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Cocciaretto | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Bondar | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…f20ebacked Bondar | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Bondar | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…c64cbacked Cocciaretto | 79c | 48.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Bondar | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bondar | 43c | 38.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Cocciaretto | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cocciaretto | 70c | 36.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Bondar | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Cocciaretto | 44c | 33.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Bondar | 30c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Cocciaretto | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bondar | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Anna Bondar vs Elisabetta Cocciarettothis page
- Bondar vs. Cocciaretto: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.