Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a54a746c18935211b5d39731059c7f10094733ecdd4ed479ae5f757a103911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Power Rangers | 31c | 1,264$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Power Rangers | 27c | 1,184$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed 1win | 79c | 677.86$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win | 62c | 626$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.26 | 797 | 41.9%334 W · 463 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 1win | 56c | 544.65$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Power Rangers | 6c | 501.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1win | 63c | 284.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Power Rangers | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Power Rangers | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…4c9ebacked 1win | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 17c | 143.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed 1win | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed 1win | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Power Rangers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Power Rangers | 26c | 95.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Power Rangers | 20c | 54.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 68c | 50.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 2,395 | 47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed 1win | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked 1win | 78c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed 1win | 80c | 24.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.