Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Billy Harris vs Chris Rodesch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90780bcb58a2ee740ead1293b81e333ed443a72b550f16d27bcbd342db22f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodeschof Harris, Rodesch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harris | 28c | 1,110$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rodesch | 73c | 711.78$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Harris | 43c | 599.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rodesch | 57c | 466.21$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rodesch | 70c | 335.3$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rodesch | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Rodesch | 69c | 143.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Harris | 22c | 132.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Harris | 30c | 125.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Rodesch | 58c | 124$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Harris | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Rodesch | 54c | 107.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Harris | 46c | 99.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Harris | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Rodesch | 60c | 83.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Harris | 25c | 68.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Harris | 46c | 64.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…4602backed Rodesch | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Harris | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harris | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…4df8backed Rodesch | 60c | 48.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1e4dbacked Harris | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Harris | 33c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Harris | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Harris | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Harris | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Rodesch | 80c | 38.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Harris | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Billy Harris vs Chris Rodeschthis page
- Harris vs. Rodesch: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Harris vs. Rodesch: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Harris vs RodeschRodesch won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.