Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Astra Sharma vs Carson Branstine
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f96a7e86e3af4d60dfc6daec98e6bb1f17709ba1c348c596dd818da3e744529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Branstineof Sharma, Branstine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Branstine | 53c | 2,424$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.36 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sharma | 29c | 1,088$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.77 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Branstine | 55c | 735.64$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharma | 41c | 536.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sharma | 44c | 475.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Branstine | 72c | 388.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharma | 55c | 217.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Sharma | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Sharma | 32c | 133.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Sharma | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Branstine | 71c | 94.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Branstine | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +8.8wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sharma | 47c | 70.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Sharma | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Branstine | 80c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Sharma | 55c | 31.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Sharma | 80c | 23.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…54ccbacked Sharma | 55c | 21.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Sharma | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Astra Sharma vs Carson Branstinethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sharma vs BranstineBranstine won
- Sharma vs. Branstine: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Sharma vs. Branstine: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.