Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Sebastian Ofner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x363234b7352bd2257d512f274b3a676860133d98db7d67511228bf4909314221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basavareddyof Basavareddy, Ofner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Ofner | 1c | 1,818$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Basavareddy | 67c | 1,271$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Basavareddy | 63c | 1,158$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ofner | 35c | 1,075$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.84 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Ofner | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Ofner | 27c | 961.27$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Ofner | 30c | 903.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Basavareddy | 74c | 674.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Ofner | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Basavareddy | 68c | 519.26$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Ofner | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Ofner | 61c | 496.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.19 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Basavareddy | 60c | 451.44$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Basavareddy | 71c | 403.45$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ofner | 25c | 399.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Basavareddy | 70c | 389.76$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Basavareddy | 58c | 353.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Ofner | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Ofner | 50c | 209$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Ofner | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ofner | 26c | 199.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Ofner | 46c | 177.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Ofner | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Basavareddy | 17c | 139.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Basavareddy | 10c | 136.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basavareddy | 66c | 125.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ofner | 23c | 114.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711f…f51bbacked Basavareddy | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ofner | 48c | 90.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Basavareddy | 78c | 86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Ofner | 29c | 85.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Ofner | 31c | 81.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed Ofner | 24c | 63.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…161cbacked Basavareddy | 71c | 57.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Basavareddy | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ofner | 37c | 52.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Basavareddy | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Ofner | 54c | 45.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Ofner | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Basavareddy | 72c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…adcebacked Basavareddy | 77c | 37.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Basavareddy | 64c | 36.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Basavareddy | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Basavareddy | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Basavareddy | 67c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…ecb3backed Basavareddy | 71c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Basavareddy | 70c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Ofner | 54c | 28.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 62.5%110 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Basavareddy | 61c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Basavareddy | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…46c0backed Basavareddy | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Basavareddy | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Basavareddy | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Basavareddy | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.