Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb87e48ded00bd115d78909bba0bab93bdd0531032e7693e4adeb5d489f82f627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Loyola Marymount Lions, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Oregon State Beavers | 59c | 2,348$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.17 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 2,341$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 2,208$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 41c | 2,195$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 1,405$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.66 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 1,060$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 13c | 999$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 954.46$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 842.2$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 52c | 778.64$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 696.82$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.02 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 679.67$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b24…2d97backed Oregon State Beavers | 65c | 552.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon State Beavers | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…3cc7backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 51c | 488.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Oregon State Beavers | 44c | 446$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oregon State Beavers | 67c | 378.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 307.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d89…a2febacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 60c | 289.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 286$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 19c | 278.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 10c | 270.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 33c | 223.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oregon State Beavers | 44c | 210.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oregon State Beavers | 75c | 204$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Oregon State Beavers | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 179.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon State Beavers | 76c | 174.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 56c | 157.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 142.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 22c | 125.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oregon State Beavers | 62c | 100.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Oregon State Beavers | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…09c4backed Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 91.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…a60cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…8205backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4045…23ecbacked Oregon State Beavers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 29c | 77.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 59c | 64.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 63.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oregon State Beavers | 67c | 56.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…d5f3backed Oregon State Beavers | 40c | 49.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Oregon State Beavers | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Oregon State Beavers | 74c | 37.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 44c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 30.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 57c | 25.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…07f3backed Oregon State Beavers | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Oregon State Beavers | 55c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 47c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Oregon State Beavers | 64c | 21.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oregon State Beavers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beaversthis page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Oregon State Beavers: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.