TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida State Seminoles vs. Syracuse Orange

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Syracuse Orangeof Florida State Seminoles, Syracuse Orange
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Florida State Seminoles30c271,547$81,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,183.4635945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Syracuse Orange70c219,773$153,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,149.989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Syracuse Orange70c15,555$10,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.513154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Syracuse Orange71c15,514$11,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.0319950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Syracuse Orange70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Syracuse Orange65c8,171$5,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.039771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles34c5,578$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.075,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Florida State Seminoles7c5,002$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.675520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Syracuse Orange72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6721248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Syracuse Orange71c3,654$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.542,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse Orange77c3,516$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.671,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Syracuse Orange73c3,034$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.415,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Syracuse Orange72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Florida State Seminoles34c2,985$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Syracuse Orange74c2,834$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.512,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Florida State Seminoles12c2,271$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.5194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Florida State Seminoles27c1,744$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3416135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Florida State Seminoles31c1,674$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.341,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Syracuse Orange67c1,501$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.283956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida State Seminoles34c1,273$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.711,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Syracuse Orange74c1,196$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.352,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19b…a105backed Syracuse Orange80c1,191$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.611060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida State Seminoles31c1,176$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Syracuse Orange69c1,123$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Syracuse Orange55c1,089$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.5146446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Florida State Seminoles30c1,087$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Florida State Seminoles33c1,074$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3135243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida State Seminoles25c954.84$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.321,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Florida State Seminoles33c926.52$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.754544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Syracuse Orange74c911.67$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Syracuse Orange71c800$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2292,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Florida State Seminoles32c783.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Syracuse Orange77c727.82$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7773549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Florida State Seminoles31c710$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.326740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Syracuse Orange70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1808351.8%43 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Florida State Seminoles33c574.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.839849%48 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida State Seminoles37c556.56$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.824,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Florida State Seminoles37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Florida State Seminoles6c524.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Syracuse Orange72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Florida State Seminoles4c466.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.113993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Florida State Seminoles33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Florida State Seminoles31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12414151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Florida State Seminoles20c373.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.26931.9%22 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Syracuse Orange74c353.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.466346%29 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8289…2b2ebacked Syracuse Orange76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae7…6925backed Syracuse Orange71c279.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida State Seminoles28c269.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.973,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Florida State Seminoles35c209.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles27c200.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.752,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f29…9d73backed Syracuse Orange77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468253.7%44 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse Orange62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdde…069fbacked Florida State Seminoles22c182.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Syracuse Orange73c181.36$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Syracuse Orange76c160$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.220254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Florida State Seminoles32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Florida State Seminoles32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Syracuse Orange71c140.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1535050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida State Seminoles36c135$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.241,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Florida State Seminoles30c123.71$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5353635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Florida State Seminoles21c121.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0532343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Florida State Seminoles34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Syracuse Orange79c116$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.361,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Florida State Seminoles33c110.35$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.017846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Florida State Seminoles29c108.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5114846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ce5…8fa2backed Syracuse Orange71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Florida State Seminoles28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Syracuse Orange73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Florida State Seminoles37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3734649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Florida State Seminoles28c99.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.972,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Syracuse Orange69c98.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5575447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Florida State Seminoles36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Syracuse Orange72c95.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7818046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida State Seminoles22c83.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d23…9eb4backed Florida State Seminoles32c78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Florida State Seminoles22c77.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0625544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Florida State Seminoles14c75.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Florida State Seminoles37c67.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8218241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse Orange78c66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Florida State Seminoles28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Florida State Seminoles31c62.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Syracuse Orange71c57.96$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8115844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Syracuse Orange70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Syracuse Orange65c53.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5514062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Syracuse Orange74c50.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.264,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb180…8905backed Syracuse Orange69c50.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2a…f4f7backed Syracuse Orange73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Syracuse Orange71c49.42$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Syracuse Orange71c45.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3118646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3493…47bcbacked Syracuse Orange63c44.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.512313%3 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Florida State Seminoles30c44.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Florida State Seminoles32c44.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Syracuse Orange70c37.63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Syracuse Orange70c35.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6119653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida State Seminoles29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Syracuse Orange79c26.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6936845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d15…2d65backed Syracuse Orange79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Syracuse Orange68c21.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0721535.3%76 W · 139 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Syracuse Orange55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Syracuse Orange58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.