Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1817ee404f97713a23d241abe8bb07fe7959a6da31ded59e9427f964f6a854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof Grand Canyon Antelopes, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 3,349$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 2c | 2,950$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 28c | 2,074$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.65 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 1,834$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.72 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 1,551$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.21 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 25c | 1,501$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 24c | 1,222$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 25c | 638$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 21c | 516.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 470$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 26c | 380.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 18c | 331.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 20c | 282.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed New Mexico Lobos | 68c | 226.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 27c | 222.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 211.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 195.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Mexico Lobos | 76c | 178.9$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico Lobos | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 18c | 164$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Mexico Lobos | 80c | 130.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 99.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 76c | 84.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 20c | 78.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico Lobos | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 66.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Mexico Lobos | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New Mexico Lobos | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.