Middle East · resolved market
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf483ff45a1c3ee0d943693843509a9033d7f284137d09c3ed83eae2d497d5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 17,828$14,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.54 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 62c | 9,300$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.42 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 57c | 6,990$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.28 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 70c | 5,126$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 3,899$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 15c | 3,163$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.19 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 11c | 2,298$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.84 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…b805backed Yes | 1c | 2,244$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004a…8769backed Yes | 1c | 2,144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked No | 73c | 2,060$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 74c | 1,997$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.91 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…f36fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,950$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…b135backed Yes | 46c | 1,934$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…ded1backed Yes | 46c | 1,934$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 37c | 1,841$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.76 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked Yes | 51c | 1,783$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,627$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 29c | 1,400$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 38c | 1,375$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.22 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 40c | 1,245$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 1,136$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.77 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…536bbacked No | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…9eefbacked Yes | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…454ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…ef59backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…861fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…a111backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…bce5backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…0c27backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…80d0backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…f082backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…831dbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…6656backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…fc8bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…e50dbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…0e1ebacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…37b3backed Yes | 55c | 999.9$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…941abacked No | 55c | 968$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd996…b6c6backed No | 55c | 968$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55a…7a32backed No | 53c | 966$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b102backed No | 53c | 966$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 51c | 950$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 30c | 883.45$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…34d2backed Yes | 46c | 787.01$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 45c | 764.16$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.57 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 54c | 731.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 730.68$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 44c | 724.47$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 46c | 717.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.41 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 40c | 569.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…56f0backed No | 54c | 550$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 49c | 546$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed No | 74c | 537$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…903abacked Yes | 19c | 522.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…b61cbacked Yes | 30c | 520$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 518.02$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 39c | 507.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 29c | 500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 68c | 465$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.13 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…d3b7backed Yes | 38c | 462.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…cc6fbacked No | 73c | 457.84$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…0beebacked No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 40c | 450$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 46c | 440.89$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 50c | 408.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…9b77backed No | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed No | 74c | 370.92$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…3ffabacked Yes | 58c | 367.26$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…df64backed No | 53c | 362.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 33c | 361.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed No | 66c | 357.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…f11fbacked No | 73c | 333$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 45c | 314.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 35c | 307.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…81a9backed Yes | 24c | 290$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 51c | 286.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…1d35backed Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 20c | 263.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 249.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed No | 71c | 247.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked No | 67c | 238.81$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 48c | 232.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.54 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…ebe0backed No | 28c | 223.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…ac3abacked No | 76c | 222.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…00c7backed No | 29c | 218$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 34c | 214.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…abc3backed No | 54c | 212.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…2d2fbacked Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…bc7cbacked No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cef…9b6fbacked No | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 32c | 204.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 43c | 204.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…47f3backed Yes | 27c | 204.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f76backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…d6f7backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6104…6e56backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.