TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Nets27c56,233$15,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,123.4311842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz63c18,948$11,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,005.8965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…c482backed Jazz45c13,100$5,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,158.264440.9%18 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Jazz67c10,679$7,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.3221649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x294f…4576backed Nets56c10,016$5,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2e…568abacked Jazz43c10,013$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5259…13f0backed Jazz43c10,012$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…bc98backed Jazz44c10,001$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4528…ce3abacked Nets57c9,999$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.16333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c4…905ebacked Nets57c9,998$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Jazz45c6,556$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.8813140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz75c6,496$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.661,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Nets56c6,432$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6024025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz70c5,715$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.5861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets57c5,314$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.893,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz46c5,222$2,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.7572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets23c2,663$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.131,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets22c2,577$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Nets54c2,156$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2758…66e1backed Nets55c1,547$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz45c1,493$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0166…c1aebacked Nets43c1,459$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6f…28e5backed Nets18c1,385$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Jazz40c1,251$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.59450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz64c1,209$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz47c1,097$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.51,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Nets54c1,064$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.54344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Jazz47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.832365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Nets3c1,050$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810163.4%64 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz50c1,033$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Jazz46c1,000$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.88040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Jazz45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Jazz63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37017243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Jazz59c966.4$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9314233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Jazz60c931.75$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz62c926.69$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Nets58c924.43$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets53c768.07$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Jazz47c765.46$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0215947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Nets44c670.33$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.099035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Nets55c656.22$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9212154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets55c649.41$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Nets56c625.13$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.299646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Nets57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz70c553.23$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…bd4fbacked Nets65c546$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e53…670ebacked Jazz35c546$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick36cpaid+98.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets37c545.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Jazz45c540$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets51c515.67$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz51c491.64$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa27…eea1backed Nets65c479$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+125.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a79…14d7backed Jazz35c479$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Jazz64c469.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.987860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…a7b0backed Nets63c403.64$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Nets62c400.07$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2485366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…dc82backed Nets30c400$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.55827.6%16 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+92.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Nets34c400$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1374316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Jazz47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2125330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets46c399.13$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc0…4da8backed Nets51c390.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Nets61c373.89$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7813341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Jazz78c360.54$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.413447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…480abacked Nets65c360$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e22…699fbacked Jazz35c360$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz43c348.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.792,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6985…ff51backed Nets38c332.17$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Nets56c307.48$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2740448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets53c299.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz67c298.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5825957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8290…6a65backed Jazz77c298.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.74465.9%29 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nets44c260$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Jazz79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets55c249.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c17…1f3ebacked Nets65c230$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+103.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cde…b4bfbacked Jazz35c229.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce10…902bbacked Nets66c228.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Nets59c217$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0534644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Jazz51c216.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5614941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets55c214.83$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Nets38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7610833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe635…0fccbacked Nets60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Jazz40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12015237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…9f3abacked Jazz40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Jazz46c193.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.482343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Nets55c192.73$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Nets54c192.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10411956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Nets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Nets55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Nets35c169.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Nets7c167.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets8c155$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.848741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…a87fbacked Jazz44c130$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets50c127.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.731,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Jazz79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Nets40c124.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.993125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.