La Liga · resolved market
Will the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25d647e913020101fe31c5042faaa354888699664b4e9eb0e83e49edab84de7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed8d…d8fbbacked No | 75c | 3,489$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebc…dd8abacked Yes | 26c | 3,487$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 25c | 3,421$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…a9e7backed No | 76c | 2,615$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ee…224fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,613$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked No | 38c | 1,862$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 30c | 1,705$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 55c | 1,300$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 73c | 1,188$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.61 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…06febacked Yes | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 77c | 815.52$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…89f5backed Yes | 77c | 389.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 26c | 372.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 58c | 347.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 345.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 51c | 264.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 76c | 221.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 183.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 172.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 39c | 139.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…4a95backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…9e27backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…6457backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…a8babacked Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 25c | 119.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Yes | 26c | 111.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 74c | 104.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…b190backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…6975backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d72…4833backed No | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…3e19backed Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes | 26c | 95.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 60c | 81.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 51c | 68.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…941abacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 24c | 61.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked No | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 25c | 55.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 25c | 46.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 25c | 41.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 73c | 40.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d9…8d45backed Yes | 48c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…bf6fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…4b13backed Yes | 51c | 31.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…e0f7backed No | 56c | 26.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…72c2backed Yes | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…0990backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…5e97backed No | 40c | 26.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 62c | 24.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd0…4a71backed Yes | 51c | 22.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90aa…fe55backed Yes | 60c | 21.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…1b4cbacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…04ddbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked No | 63c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef52…509fbacked Yes | 79c | 15.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…321fbacked Yes | 74c | 14.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona?Yes won
- Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.