Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2c40b8240df861c52952e645fb6871ea9219b5a4a5c285d26f43e9a5e9bcc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e9…9507backed No | 26c | 10,330$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…3a20backed No | 73c | 10,166$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…db91backed Yes | 27c | 10,069$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…ce4ebacked Yes | 27c | 9,733$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,104.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…1b23backed No | 73c | 9,597$7,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes | 63c | 1,959$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 66c | 1,739$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.83 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,527$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.27 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 73c | 1,509$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.42 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Yes | 77c | 1,009$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 53c | 750.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.86 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 67c | 741.81$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 32c | 732.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed No | 75c | 661.52$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 74c | 521.43$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 25c | 499.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 76c | 368.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 27c | 367.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…f1e8backed Yes | 30c | 240.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 24c | 231.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Yes | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 35c | 206.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Yes | 55c | 159.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed Yes | 78c | 137.79$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 73c | 111.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 48c | 106.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…6422backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 25c | 99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 91.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac62…023bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9b…2274backed Yes | 37c | 64.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 24c | 58.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 51.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…6db4backed Yes | 67c | 47.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 63c | 38.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 70c | 35.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…a9bebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…e745backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…5819backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…b112backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked No | 71c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.