TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brighton win on 2024-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes41c2,952$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.348633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes41c2,894$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.0832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No52c2,826$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,34529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No59c1,761$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.826253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No23c1,648$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.327839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes77c1,623$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.151850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e9…9507backed Yes21c1,317$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No63c1,079$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.877651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2774…07dfbacked Yes39c1,029$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes39c970.43$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No69c947$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.575550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No61c838.83$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1428355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes36c689.52$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.56838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Yes36c617.58$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed No58c616.04$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.745453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0424…3093backed Yes35c572.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes9c560$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.416737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes74c526.28$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ee…68f3backed No60c465$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Yes41c439.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+50.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No61c409.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.883762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No61c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8415347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No37c335.74$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7134251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No30c332.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.563666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes31c309.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0811937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No62c297$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7419336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No60c293.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0617945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes39c256.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes42c239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes20c207.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed Yes42c202.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes38c193.09$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.412725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No71c186$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.34663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes27c182.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No62c176.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2618260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No61c171$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No27c165$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe534…bfafbacked Yes74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ae…b45cbacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No60c100.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.228752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fe…025cbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes40c92.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6118232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes37c77.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79334.4%32 W · 61 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Yes27c73.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf76…bd7bbacked Yes42c71.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes38c67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.462050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe057…692fbacked No59c65.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Yes38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.321921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes30c61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No61c57.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.237967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13bb…4d20backed No59c56.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1981…b017backed No59c52.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59f…3be9backed No78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f28…bb0bbacked Yes40c49.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…3256backed Yes40c47.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9007…cf89backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick66cpaid-78.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44c…81ffbacked Yes41c47.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c2…a9eabacked No61c46.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…206cbacked No59c43.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Yes73c43.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c82…0970backed Yes41c41.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes37c40.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d68…ea9dbacked No60c39.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7461…aebfbacked Yes41c39.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762b…5e4ebacked Yes41c39.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23a0…74f4backed No59c39.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ff…5ebebacked No62c36.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…0854backed Yes39c35.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb11d…78cdbacked Yes41c35.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes77c35.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1714062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x79e3…8039backed No60c34.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b66…a6adbacked Yes40c34.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd830…c2d0backed No59c34.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f56…bd04backed Yes41c34.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…b67dbacked Yes41c33.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904d…9cb0backed Yes39c33.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f13…0b06backed Yes40c33.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9edd…8b1abacked No61c33.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c6…ec74backed No58c33.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ba…0409backed Yes41c33.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…e27bbacked Yes40c31.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c3…7ea1backed No60c31.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb642…926ebacked No60c30.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ec…5430backed Yes39c30.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…8d51backed No61c30.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e1…3df2backed Yes41c30.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x724e…da2bbacked No61c30.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.